Stochastic Modelling of Soccer Match Results
نویسندگان
چکیده
Diagnostic tests for normality, heteroscedasticity and structural stability are reported for an ordered probit model applied to an English league soccer match results data set. The unsystematic component in match results is found to be normal and homoscedastic, but the ordered probit model parameters reflecting relative team strengths are found to change significantly within the soccer season. Monte Carlo methods are used to test for short term persistence effects in sequences of consecutive results. Evidence of negative persistence is obtained.
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تاریخ انتشار 2000